Are we in for a quiet hurricane season?

As the 10th anniversary of the monster Hurricane Ivan striking Northwest Florida approaches, the forecasts for the 2014 Atlantic hurricane season are starting to roll in.

The predictions are for a below-normal season.

Colorado State University, headed by Dr. William Gray and Dr. Philip Klotzbach are predicting a "quiet season this year" with nine named storms and three hurricanes -- only one of which is expected to be "major" -- Category 3, 4 or 5.

According to the Colorado State University hurricane team, probabilities for at least one major hurricane to make landfall in the Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville, Texas, is 19 percent. The average for last century is 30 percent.

The Colorado State forecast mirrors other forecasters findings.

Joe Bastardi, formerly the chief long-range forecaster at AccuWeather and now atWeatherBELL.com also predicts a quiet season, but cautions the East Coast and Carolinas may be under threat of near-shore storms that form very quickly and move inland.

ImpactWeather.com released its 2014 Seasonal Outlook for Atlantic Hurricanes. They are factoring in El Nino by July or August to influence a less active than normal hurricane season this year. An El Nino is the warming of Pacific waters that changes the airflow dynamics across the U.S.

The National Hurricane Center in Miami is expected to issue its forecast in May.

Atlantic Hurricane season begins June 1 and ends Nov. 30.

These predictions of a quiet season are welcomed, but remember it only takes one hurricane.

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